September 19, 2022
Jakatra – Outgoing Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan beats the drums for presidential elections 17 months from now. It is not hard to imagine that the division in the 2017 Jakarta gubernatorial election will be repeated.
Agnès, who visited the Jakarta Post office on September 9, openly stated that he was ready to run for the presidential election on February 14, 2024. He also has a plan B. If he fails to fulfill his dream of becoming Indonesia’s eighth president, he will try his luck again in the November 27, 2024 Jakarta gubernatorial election.
Separately from Agnès, Prabowo Subianto, Minister of Defense and chairman of the Gelendra Party, declared a challenge for the presidency. Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo has consistently led polls as a presidential candidate, but the Indonesian Democratic Party for Struggle (PDI-P), of which he is a member, has been reluctant to back him. He may prefer House Speaker Puan Maharani. Instead, she’s near the bottom of most polls.
Anies said he views the nomination as a “call to duty.”
“We are preparing now. [a party decides to] Nominate me, I accept it as a duty.”I’ll do it,” he told the Post. “I’m open to both. [gubernatorial and presidential elections]”
Anies echoed his intentions in an interview with Reuters, noting that polls consistently rank him alongside Prabowo and Ganjar as the frontrunners in the presidential race.
“If a political party nominates me, I am ready to run for president,” he told Reuters in Singapore, adding that not being a party member gave him “room to communicate with all factions.”
In a recent conversation with a group of avid Agnès supporters, they argued that the governor of Jakarta deserves a shot given his numerous achievements, including building the Jakarta International Stadium and improving many public facilities. . And more importantly, Jakarta has maintained peace and order for the past five years because Agnès acted as a wise “father” of the people of Jakarta.
These supporters have pledged to fight for Anies to transform Indonesia into a better country. Both were won by President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo.
They believe that Agnès could easily become president without affiliation with any political party, and that Jokowi will do whatever it takes to prevent Agnès from running.
“Insealer [God willing] Park Anies will be the next president,” he said confidently.
In all honesty, I fear identity politics will once again rear its ugly head in the 2024 presidential election, no matter who is running.
The NasDem party has announced Anies, Ganjar and Indonesian Armed Forces (TNI) chief Gen. Andika Perkasa as potential presidential candidates, but it seems likely that the party’s grassroots will lean towards Anies. The Democratic Party, led by fifth president Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, and the Islam-based Prosperity and Justice Party (PKS) have also hinted at the possibility of backing Agnès. The three-party coalition is eligible to nominate Agnès as presidential candidate.
Based on the current political dynamics, there are likely four presidential candidates.
First, the PDI-P is the only party capable of meeting the criteria for a seat in the House of Representatives and fielding a single presidential candidate, and it appears poised to nominate Puan, the daughter of party leader Megawati Sukarnoputri.
Second, the Indonesian coalition, which consists of the Golkar Party, the National Mandate Party (PAN) and the United Development Party (PPP), which jointly controls a good 25.73% of the seats in the House of Representatives, has yet to announce its presidential candidate. not.
Third, Jerindra and the National Awakening Party (PKB) together hold 23.84 per cent of the seats and could endorse Prabowo as the presidential candidate.
Fourth, NasDem, the Democratic Party, and the PKS, which hold 28.35% of the House seats, are still negotiating an alliance plan and could nominate Anies.
Anies, who won over incumbent Basuki “Ahok” Tjahaja Purnima, believes his performance over the past five years as governor of Jakarta will attract voters.
Anies was an unlikely candidate in the 2017 Jakarta elections, but a blasphemy scandal that plagued double-minority governor Ahok allowed Jokowi’s former education minister to turn the tables. Islamic cards, backed by hardline Islamic groups among others, helped Agnès to an upset victory.
A month after the runoff, the North Jakarta court sentenced the Chinese and Christian Ahok to two years in prison for blasphemy against Islam. Many ahoek supporters have not forgiven Agnès. According to them, he sided with the Islamic hardliners.
Agnès has tried to downplay the devastating impact his victory had on Jakarta’s social cohesion. The U.S.-educated governor himself was raised in a tolerant, modern, moderate Muslim household. But it seems that he was not enough to reconcile with Jakarta voters. As if he doesn’t want to lose his comfort zone, he maintains relationships with his supporters, including hardline Muslim groups.
Agnès, however, has demonstrated his pluralistic intentions several times by visiting churches during Christmas and Easter celebrations.
So far, it is unclear whether Nasdem, the Democratic Party and the PKS will form a coalition to nominate Agnès as their presidential candidate.
But anything can happen. Agnès has a chance because Indonesia’s election is full of surprises. But honestly, I would be horrified if Agnès, in order to win the presidency, relied on the old recipe he used to bring down Ahok.